Blog

Writing about product strategy, AI workflows, and building in public.

agent-economy agents AI ai ai-native-pm architecture building-in-public burnout career case-studies confidence-thresholds deployment deterministic-probabilistic economics engineering execution failure fastapi fiction frameworks full-stack full-stack-pm future-of-work labor labor-market leadership life operational org-design p-work personal-brand pm-multiverse product product-management product-thinking productivity risk-management startups strategy team-design technology
April 2026
2 posts

When P Goes Wrong: Case Studies of Catastrophic Probabilistic Failures

Apr 07, 2026 · 8 min read

P work failures aren't like bugs. They're like slow leaks — coherent, confident, and compounding until something breaks at scale. Five case studies of what catastrophic probabilistic failure actually looks like, and what was missed.

AI product-management deterministic-probabilistic p-work risk-management case-studies failure

2031 — Part 4: The Number

Apr 06, 2026 · 6 min read

Kai runs an audit tool. The number comes back: $340/day in extraction. $124,000 over a working lifetime. Nothing illegal happened. That's the problem.

AI agent-economy fiction economics future-of-work
March 2026
15 posts

The Economics of P: Who Gets Paid What When D Gets Cheaper?

Mar 31, 2026 · 17 min read

When AI automates the deterministic layer, the market for D skills reprices fast. What's less obvious is what happens to P — why the premium is real, why it has a ceiling D never had, and what the labor market looks like when both are true.

AI economics future-of-work product-management deterministic-probabilistic labor-market career

2031 — Part 3: Wanting Things

Mar 30, 2026 · 6 min read

A year in. Kai's agent has been surfacing the same laptop for weeks. The preference feels personal. But who actually formed it? The emergence of Agent Engine Optimization (AEO).

AI agent-economy fiction economics future-of-work

2031 — Part 2: The Drift

Mar 22, 2026 · 5 min read

Six months in, Kai's agent has a personality now. Then a restaurant gets recommended to two people with different agents. Probably just popular. These things happen.

AI agent-economy fiction economics future-of-work

2031 — Part 1: Everything Works

Mar 17, 2026 · 5 min read

A morning in 2031. Kai's agent handles everything — groceries, commute, dentist, insurance. It all feels like magic. They saved $43. They don't know what wasn't saved.

AI agent-economy fiction economics future-of-work

Building Gets Easy. Selling Gets Brutal.

Mar 15, 2026 · 8 min read

AI is collapsing the cost of building digital products. That's not the story. The story is what happens to selling when everyone can build — and why the platforms always win when supply explodes.

AI product-management economics startups strategy

P Work Thresholds, Case Studies, and Your Implementation Checklist

Mar 08, 2026 · 16 min read

When to stop checking, when to keep going, and what actually changes when AI takes over the deterministic layer. Case studies and an implementation checklist.

AI product-management deterministic-probabilistic p-work confidence-thresholds operational

More P = More Burnout: The Hidden Cost of AI Doing Your D Work

Mar 04, 2026 · 10 min read

AI is offloading your deterministic work. Great. But what's left is concentrated probabilistic work — the kind that exhausts humans and compounds risk exponentially across every layer of decision-making.

product-management ai ai-native-pm burnout career

When AI Masters D, P Becomes Your Career Leverage

Mar 03, 2026 · 9 min read

As AI masters deterministic execution, the real leverage shifts to probabilistic work — where ambiguity is the job, errors compound, and someone has to own the consequences.

product-management ai ai-native-pm career strategy
February 2026
7 posts

What Is an AI Agent, Really?

Feb 28, 2026 · 9 min read

Everyone's building 'AI agents.' Most of them are just prompts with a loop. Here's what actually makes something an agent — and a walkthrough of how a prompt graduates into one.

ai product-management ai-native-pm agents building-in-public

How I Built PM Multiverse in a Weekend

Feb 25, 2026 · 10 min read

I was tired of PM case studies that feel like homework. So I built a tool where 5 AI personas argue about real product problems — and you vote on who's right. Here's how.

product-management ai building-in-public full-stack-pm pm-multiverse

What Is an AI-Native PM? (And Why It's Not What You Think)

Feb 24, 2026 · 10 min read

Everyone's adding 'AI' to their LinkedIn title. But being an AI-native PM isn't about using ChatGPT for your PRDs. It's a fundamentally different way of thinking about products, teams, and decisions.

product-management ai career ai-native-pm leadership

What Is a Full Stack PM?

Feb 20, 2026 · 2 min read

The next generation of great product managers won't just manage — they'll build.

product-management ai career

How I Built fullstackpm.tech — From Idea to Live in 48 Hours

Feb 15, 2026 · 10 min read

The complete journey of building a portfolio website from scratch: architecture decisions, deployment nightmares, and why being a Full Stack PM means shipping your own products.

product engineering deployment full-stack fastapi personal-brand

The Birth of the Full Stack PM

Feb 09, 2026 · 5 min read

The product manager role is quietly transforming. The best PMs in 2026 don't just coordinate—they build, experiment, and ship.

product-management full-stack-pm strategy execution leadership